Well folks, the Australian GDP numbers came in stronger than expected on the headline, but as we dig into the details and look at what markets are actually doing, the picture gets considerably murkier. Let’s walk through what happened and why AUD/CHF might offer the cleanest risk-reward for those considering a short-term bearish setup—though we’ll be upfront: this is…
Fed’s Barkin is on Bloomberg TV and says: Productivity and corporate margins 2.8% productivity growth is still a solid number. Strong productivity is helping firms maintain steady margins, allowing companies to absorb some tariff-related costs. Geopolitics and energy prices Too early to assess the economic implications of the Iran war. Gas prices still matter for consumer sentiment and can…
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay highlights that the Indian Rupee has weakened as global Oil prices surge, pushing USD/INR above 92.00 for the first time. India’s heavy Oil import dependence and shifting supply mix toward the Middle East keep downside pressure on the Rupee, though large FX reserves and stable macro fundamentals allow the RBI to smooth volatility and keep USD/INR…
2026.03.05 2026.03.05 Geopolitical Unrest Weighs On Pound. Forecast as of 05.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Markets do not expect the Bank of England to sharply reduce the repo rate in March and have lowered the odds of two rounds of monetary expansion in 2026. It would seem that the GBP/USD pair should have increased. However, the pair is declining. Why? Let’s…
Friday’s February employment report lands days before the Fed’s blackout period ahead of the March 17–18 FOMC meeting, making it one of the final major inputs before policymakers deliberate on rates. What are markets expecting from the anticipated labor market report? Here are the points you need to know if you’re trading Uncle Sam’s February NFP release:
Residential building was the main reason for the drag in overall construction activity in February, being the weakest-performing segment (37.0) once again. That being said, there were also contractions in both commercial construction activity (46.5) and civil engineering work (41.0) with the latter slumping to its softest since September last year. S&P Global notes that: “A sharper downturn in…
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that markets are pricing out early Federal Reserve easing following strong ISM Services and ADP private payrolls data. Analysts note that the probability of a June rate cut has fallen to 39% as skepticism grows that a new Fed Chair can start cutting rates straight away. Rate cut expectations pushed back “As all that was…
2026.03.05 2026.03.05 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 05.03.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on the Elliott Wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The last part of impulse 5 appears to be developing. Consider selling the asset with Take Profit at 62,400.00. XRPUSD:…
After several days of losses, EUR/USD is starting to attract buyers around a key support zone. Could this lead to a bounce in the next few trading sessions? Here’s what’s happening on the daily time frame: EUR/USD Daily – Chart Faster with TradingView The Euro Area’s exposure to the U.S.-Iran conflict and European Central Bank (ECB) officials’ concerns about…
Well, they’re not going off into the wild in calling for triple-digit oil prices at least. The firm is offering a bit more of a measured take to start with as they see “mixed signals” from the US-Iran conflict. That especially with regards to the Strait of Hormuz, which is what market players are heavily focusing on. Goldman Sachs…
