NZ food prices fell 0.6% m/m (prev -0.1%) while retail card spending rose 0.7% (prev 1.4%), showing easing inflation and slowing demand, reinforcing expectations the RBNZ will hold rates steady. Summary: NZ food prices -0.6% m/m (prev -0.1%), annual pace 3.4% – Stats NZ Core retail card spending +0.7% m/m (prev +1.4%), signalling slower momentum Total card spending +1.3%…
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says China’s 5.0% growth, despite weak investment and retail sales, underscores reliance on external demand, keeping authorities wary of strong CNY appreciation. Beijing appears to allow only slight CNY gains versus the Dollar, balancing competitiveness and political pressure, and March data suggest state banks may have supported CNY. Commerzbank expects only slow CNY appreciation against USD….
2026.04.16 2026.04.16 US Dollar Poised to Decline Further. Forecast as of 16.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Rising global risk appetite, increased hedging ratios, and renewed pressure from the Trump administration on the Fed are plenty of reasons for the US dollar to fall. However, could it simply be overvalued? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for the EUR/USD…
Netflix earnings preview: the post-Warner reset gets its first real test Netflix (NFLX) reports after the bell today with shares at $108.26, up 0.5% on the session and riding a 25%+ rally since management walked away from Warner Bros. Discovery in late February. That rally is the whole backdrop for tonight’s print. Consensus via Refinitiv: EPS: $0.76 Revenue: $12.18…
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that G10 and Gelişen Piyasalar (EM) carry trades have delivered strong paper gains, helped by Iran-related market moves and high-yield currencies like the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso. He stresses there is no empirical evidence of systematic long-term outperformance and warns that recent EM carry performance is heavily interest-income driven, with exchange rates still recovering…
2026.04.16 2026.04.16 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 16.04.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold maintains its short-term uptrend. The article…
EUR/GBP looks ready to extend its gains after finding support from a long-term range floor! Here’s what we’re seeing on the 4-hour time frame.
This isn’t a big surprise given the leaks all week but it’s still progress and a great signal that the US and Iran are on track: I just had excellent conversations with the Highly Respected President Joseph Aoun, of Lebanon, and Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, of Israel. These two Leaders have agreed that in order to achieve PEACE between…
BNP Paribas notes Latin American central banks are responding differently to renewed inflation risks. The easing cycle seems over in Chile and Peru, while Mexico’s central bank may deliver one last cut if Middle East tensions ease. Brazil has started a gradual easing cycle, whereas Colombia is expected to be the only major central bank to hike short-term rates….
2026.04.16 2026.04.16 Pound On Right Track. Forecast as of 16.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The UK government and the Bank of England appear to have made the right decisions, as reflected in February’s GDP growth figures. However, the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East in March changed the landscape entirely. How did GBP/USD quotes respond, and what lies ahead? Let’s explore…
