Newsquawk Week Ahead: US NFP, Retail Sales, ISM PMIs, OPEC, EZ Flash HICP, and ECB Minutes

Sun: OPEC Meeting Mon: German Retail Sales (Jan), Final Manufacturing PMIs (Feb), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb) Tue: Japanese Unemployment (Jan), EZ Flash HICP (Feb), US RCM/TIPP (Mar), UK Spring Statement Wed: Australian GDP (Q4), Chinese NBS PMIs (Feb), Swiss CPI (Feb), Final Composite/Services PMIs (Feb), EZ Unemployment (Jan), PPI (Jan), US ISM Services PMI (Feb) Thu: ECB Minutes…

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Canada Q4 GDP -0.6% vs 0.0% expected

Prior was +2.6% GDP -0.2% q/q vs +0.6% prior Real GDP increased 1.7% in 2025 Exports rose 1.5% in the fourth quarter, after increasing 0.9% in the third quarter. Imports rose 0.3% December GDP +0.2% The number might not be as bad as it looks as the fourth quarter decrease was largely due to withdrawals of business inventories following…

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AUD/USD holds firm as US Dollar retreats despite firm PPI

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the Greenback reverses earlier gains despite stronger-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) data. At the time of writing, AUD/USD is trading around 0.7112 and is on track for an eighth consecutive week of gains. The headline PPI rose 0.5% MoM, beating the 0.3% forecast, while…

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USDCHF Technicals: USDCHF moves lower to a new low for the week

The USDCHF is moving lower in North American trading, pressured by a softer US dollar backdrop as risk sentiment deteriorates. US equities opened sharply lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.78% and the NASDAQ falling 1.08%. At the same time, US yields are declining despite higher-than-expected PPI data, signaling markets are looking past inflation strength for now. The 10-year…

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GBP/USD slips as US PPI lifts US Dollar, Middle East risks rise

The Pound Sterling (GBP) drops some 0.10% on Friday as the Greenback is underpinned by a hot inflation report in the US, which prompted investors to price in a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed). Also heightened risks in the Middle East weighed on the GBP/USD pair, which trades at 1.3469 at the time of writing. Sterling eases as firm…

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Tech sector under pressure: Energy and healthcare offer a safe haven

Sector Overview The stock market today showcases a complex tapestry of trends and fluctuations. The technology sector is under significant pressure, with major players like Microsoft (MSFT) down by 2.63% and Nvidia (NVDA) witnessing a 2.24% decline. Notably, Broadcom (AVGO) is also down by 3.11%, pointing towards a widespread downturn within the tech space. On a brighter note, energy…

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Weak growth impulse and fiscal risks – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu reviews India’s FY27 Union Budget, highlighting policy continuity and fiscal consolidation in a context of geopolitical strains and currency weakness. The note flags modest allocations to employment schemes, questions execution of six focus areas, and warns that without stronger revenues, capital expenditure may again be cut to meet the 4.3% of GDP deficit target. Fiscal…

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US December construction spending +0.3% vs +0.3% expected

Prior was +0.5% Private construction +0.5% Residential construction +1.5% Non-residential construction -0.7% Public construction -0.5% m/m Public construction +3.6% y/y Given the jumps in shares of CAT and DE, there better be some construction spending in the pipeline. The annualized rate in the report is $2,168.8 billion, which is down 0.4% from last December. Private construction was 2.9% below…

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