Summary of weekend notes ICYMI: Higher oil prices linked to geopolitical tensions could lift U.S. inflation if the increase persists for several months. Goldman Sachs estimates a sustained 10% rise in oil prices could add about 0.28 percentage points to headline CPI. In one scenario, U.S. inflation could rise from 2.4% to around 3% if oil increases by about…
Australia National Australia Bank’s Business Conditions unchanged at 7 in February
2026.03.09 2026.03.09 US Dollar Rises As Middle East Tensions Drive Safe-Haven Demand. Forecast as of 09.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The US labor market is so weak that it cannot withstand a strike. However, investors are concerned that the situation overseas is much more dire. The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a sell-off in the EUR/USD pair. Let’s discuss…
Markets whipsawed through a dramatic Monday session as oil prices first surged above $100 per barrel on escalating Middle East conflict fears before crashing more than 20% after President Trump signaled the Iran war could conclude sooner than expected. The wild intraday reversal sent equities from deep losses to modest gains while the U.S. dollar traded mixed against major…
Trump was asked if the war will be over this week: “No”. Summary: Donald Trump said U.S. forces have destroyed much of Iran’s naval capability and are heavily degrading its drone and missile production. Trump claimed the campaign is ahead of the administration’s original timeline and suggested the conflict could soon conclude. He warned Iran would face stronger attacks…
United States (US) President Donald Trump told NBC News on Monday that he did not want to discuss whether he would like the US to seize Iranian Oil, adding that he believes it’s too soon to talk about it. Key takeaways Trump did not want to discuss whether he would like the US to seize Iranian oil, but added:…
2026.03.09 2026.03.09 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 09.03.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The last part of impulse 5 appears to be developing. Consider selling the asset with Take Profit at 59,456.39. XRPUSD: The…
Australia printed another upbeat data point as the headline growth figure for Q4 2025 came in at 0.8% versus the 0.4% consensus. However, underlying GDP metrics painted a more concerning picture of spending and inventory buildup, triggering bearish AUD setups amid a complex market environment with tense geopolitical developments. Let’s see how it all played out! Watchlists are price…
The USDCHF gapped higher at the start of trading, pushing the pair above the 100-hour moving average (blue line on the chart). However, the upside momentum quickly stalled. The pair was unable to extend beyond Friday’s high near 0.7828, and sellers stepped in. The failure above that high led to a move back below the swing area between 0.7812…
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky argues that Central and Eastern European markets remain highly exposed to the US–Iran conflict and rising Oil prices. While local data from Hungary, Turkey and Poland are due, he expects geopolitics to dominate. After Friday’s sharp rates sell-off, he sees renewed pressure on regional FX, especially EUR/HUF, where long HUF positioning is being unwound. Geopolitics and…
