Event Guide: ECB Monetary Policy Statement (June 2026)
The ECB’s June decision looks predictable, but with the hike priced in, Lagarde’s tone could drive the euro’s next move.
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ECB’s Lagarde: Risks to the growth outlook are to the downside
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Summer hikes seen as insurance – ING
ING’s Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank is being guided by its 2022 inflation experience rather than current data, with headline Eurozone inflation still moderate and survey-based expectations easing. Nonetheless, he sees more than a 50% probability of two ECB rate hikes this summer, framed as insurance against falling behind the curve rather than a response to…
Gold Slumps as Key Sources of Support Fade. Forecast as of 11.06.2026
2026.06.11 2026.06.11 Gold Slumps as Key Sources of Support Fade. Forecast as of 11.06.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ An unfavorable macroeconomic backdrop, fading support from central banks and ETFs, and the bubble burst have sent gold into a tailspin. Attention is now turning to potential catalysts, including the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and the anticipated SpaceX IPO. Let’s examine these factors…
Dollar Rebounded After U.S. CPI Hit 3-Year High in May
The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 4.2% year-on-year in May, its fastest pace since April 2023, with surging energy costs driven by the Middle East conflict accounting for the bulk of the monthly increase.
US futures nudge up on the session, focus turns to SpaceX IPO
After an ugly showing yesterday, US equities are finding a bit of relief so far today – at least for now. S&P 500 futures are up 0.8% with Nasdaq futures up by 1.3% on the day. That is at least leading to a calmer mood so far in European morning trade, though I would argue that the underlying mood…
Market doubts CBRT tightening resolve – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) to leave rates unchanged or only align the policy rate with effective funding, which he views as insufficient tightening. With monthly inflation still above 2.5% and reserves under pressure from FX intervention, he warns that reliance on macroprudential tools is inadequate and sees rising risk of…
US Dollar Ignores Bullish Signals. Forecast as of 11.06.2026
2026.06.11 2026.06.11 US Dollar Ignores Bullish Signals. Forecast as of 11.06.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ It would seem that the dollar has everything going its way. Inflation in the US has accelerated to 4.2%, keeping the likelihood of a Fed rate hike elevated. Geopolitical risks are mounting, while global risk appetite is waning. Why is the greenback not strengthening? Let’s analyze…
Chart Art: CHF/JPY Heading Back to Long-Term Range Support?
CHF/JPY just bounced off the top of the range visible on its 4-hour time frame and appears to be setting its sights back on the floor.
Gold sees light bounce but still holds below March low after break lower yesterday
Gold is off its early lows today in a bounce to $4,080 levels now, with the low earlier touching $4,024. It’s a slippery slope for gold now after the technical breakdown since Friday. The precious metal is seeing price not only fall below the 200-day moving average (blue line) for the first time since October 2023, yesterday also saw…
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