2026.04.29 2026.04.29 Dollar Traders Await Further Oil Market Disruption. Forecast as of 29.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The European Central Bank needs to act decisively while avoiding premature rate hikes. At first glance, the Federal Reserve’s task appears more straightforward. However, the cumulative effects of inflation could still undermine its efforts. Let’s analyze the situation and develop a trading plan for…

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With inflation back on the rise and the hawks getting louder, will the BOE finally signal it’s time to tighten?

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The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The evolving conflict in the Middle East is causing heightened volatility and US trade policy continues to reshape global trade patterns. Both are ongoing sources of uncertainty. The Bank’s April outlook assumes tariffs…

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Derek Halpenny at MUFG highlights that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has held up well versus the US Dollar since the Middle East conflict began, with markets expecting the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep rates unchanged but adopt a more hawkish tone. He sees higher, more persistent inflation risks and a short-term bias favouring the US Dollar (USD), though…

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2026.04.29 2026.04.29 Gold May Follow 2022 Playbook. Forecast as of 29.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Gold has failed to gain momentum to resume its upward trend and may repeat the performance seen four years ago. Moreover, the precious metal lacks support from central banks. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for the XAU/USD. The article covers the following…

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CAD/CHF is poppin’ up bearish candlesticks ahead of the BOC policy decision. Will this lead to more losses for the pair?

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The FOMC is widely expected to keep the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with no change to the statement. The base case is that this is going to be a non-event given the uncertainty around the Middle East situation and Powell’s final press conference. The US data since the last FOMC meeting in March has been remarkably strong suggesting…

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TD Securities strategists Andrew Kelvin, Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that Canada’s Spring Economic Update leaves the FY26-27 deficit projection near Budget 2025 levels as stronger revenues fund CAD 37.5bn of new measures. The Debt Management Strategy keeps GoC bond issuance at CAD 298bn, while T-bill stock is trimmed. They maintain expectations for the Bank of Canada (BoC)…

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2026.04.29 2026.04.29 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 29.04.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold has turned bearish in the short…

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The Aussie took hits after softer core inflation cooled RBA hike expectations, even as broader tightening bets stayed mostly intact.

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