FX Weekly Recap: February 9 – 13, 2026

Markets spent the week whipsawing between conflicting economic signals, leaving most major currencies trapped in choppy, directionless trading as traders struggled to find conviction. The dollar opened Monday nursing losses from softer inflation expectations, only to stage a brief comeback Tuesday after disappointing retail sales initially triggered selling. Wednesday’s blockbuster jobs report—130,000 payrolls versus just 40,000 expected—sparked another round…

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investingLive Americas market news wrap: CPI lower but US stock markets fade late

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you…

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Solid growth outlook into 2026 – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu raises Hong Kong’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.2% from 2.5%, citing robust Q4 momentum, stronger financial activity and improving consumer sentiment. The bank expects a modest housing market rebound but remains cautiously optimistic due to structural shifts and global risks. HIBOR is seen lower in H1 before gradually rising again by Q4….

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GBP/USD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26

2026.02.13 2026.02.13 GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3500 with a target of 1.4050–1.4300. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3500. Stop Loss: below 1.3500, Take Profit: 1.4050–1.4300. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the…

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US Supreme Court says next Friday will be a decision day

The US House voted against tariffs this week and the Senate is expected to follow suit. They will surely be vetoed by President Trump but that move gives some cover to the Supreme Court ahead of its big decision on tariffs. The court today announced that Feb 20, 24 and 25 will all be ‘decision days’ or days when…

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Pro‑growth FY26 budget with AI focus – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that Singapore’s FY26 budget marks a strategic pro‑growth pivot, with higher development spending aimed at building national AI capabilities, supporting enterprise funding, and attracting high‑quality capital. The government has upgraded its 2026 growth outlook, underpinned by strong late‑2025 momentum and sustained investment in advanced manufacturing, semiconductors, and AI‑related activities. AI and investment…

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WTI Crude Oil: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26

2026.02.13 2026.02.13 WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 65.65 with a target of 55.00–50.50. A sell signal: the price holds below 65.65. Stop Loss: above 65.65, Take Profit: 55.00–50.50. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation…

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The haven from the AI disruption might be a HALO

It’s not a proper investing theme until there is an acronym. I’ve been writing for a few weeks about old economy stocks making a comeback but it’s been tough to frame exactly the kinds of companies that are best built for what’s coming. The market is frightened by disruption and that’s why software stocks have seen a massive re-rating…

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GBP/USD steady as soft US CPI revives June Fed cut bets

GBP/USD steady as soft US CPI revives June Fed cut bets The GBP/USD holds firm at around 1.3620 as the latest inflation report in the United States, prompted traders to re-price in the likelihood of an interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve at the June meeting. The pair trades flat yet poised to end the week with a minimal gain of 0.12%….

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XAU/USD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26

2026.02.13 2026.02.13 XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Once the correction ends, consider long positions above 3,873.00 with a target of 6,000.00–6,500.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 3,873.00. Stop Loss: below 3,873.00, Take Profit: 6,000.00–6,500.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level…

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