We are done with the big banks and Big Tech. Now we get the real economy. Next week’s earnings calendar is a tug-of-war between the resilient service-spending consumer and the battered industrial/goods sector. Here is the playbook for the week. Walmart (WMT) Thursday (Before Open) If “General Merch” (electronics, clothes, home goods) is positive, the consumer is feeling confident….
MUFG’s Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that China’s January CPI slowdown was heavily distorted by Chinese New Year base effects, with food and services dragging headline inflation. PPI deflation narrowed on stronger global metals prices and tech-related demand. They expect reflation to remain gradual despite anti-involution measures, while the PBOC’s “moderately loose” stance and upcoming easing should…
2026.02.13 2026.02.13 USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 0.7810 with a target of 0.7420–0.7200. A sell signal: the price holds below 0.7810. Stop Loss: above 0.7810, Take Profit: 0.7420–0.7200. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the…
Bitcoin Futures are hovering near $68,800 in mid-February 2026, attempting to stabilize after a sharp retracement from last year’s surge above $110,000. At the same time, Ethereum Futures are trading close to $2,050, nearly 50% below their prior highs above $4,000. While crypto appears to be “holding,” the broader backdrop tells a more complex story. Nasdaq Futures, which climbed…
Commerzbank’s FX analysts note that Singapore’s 2026 Budget emphasizes supply-side support, SME internationalisation and capital-market development, including fresh funding for the Equity Market Development Programme and Anchor Fund. The Singapore Dollar has outperformed most Asian peers, with USD/SGD nearing a 10-year low as the Straits Times Index hits record highs. Fiscal support and strong currency performance “Prime Minister Lawrence…
2026.02.13 2026.02.13 Silver Struggles amid Rising Supply. Forecast as of 13.02.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The sharp decline in XAG/USD has raised concerns among holders of recycled silver that prices may not return to $100 per ounce anytime soon. As a result, supply is increasing rapidly. Let’s discuss this and outline a trading plan. The article covers the following subjects: Major…
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee spoke with Yahoo Finance today and had some notable comments: Encouraging and concerning parts in latest CPI We are still seeing pretty high services inflation Hopes we’ve seen the peak impact of tariffs The job market has been steady, only modest cooling Rates can still go down but need to see progress on inflation…
MUFG’s Michael Wan views the detailed US–India interim trade deal, including tariff cuts and exemptions, as positive for India’s external position. He sees scope for USD/INR to briefly break below 90 in coming months, but expects only a shallow INR recovery. MUFG forecasts USD/INR at 89.50 in Q1 2026 before rising back to 93.00 by year-end on FDI repatriation…
2026.02.13 2026.02.13 EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 13.02.26–20.02.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Once the correction ends, consider long positions above 1.1700 with a target of 1.2400–1.2750. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1700. Stop Loss: below 1.1700, Take Profit: 1.2400–1.2750. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level…
Markets spent the week whipsawing between conflicting economic signals, leaving most major currencies trapped in choppy, directionless trading as traders struggled to find conviction. The dollar opened Monday nursing losses from softer inflation expectations, only to stage a brief comeback Tuesday after disappointing retail sales initially triggered selling. Wednesday’s blockbuster jobs report—130,000 payrolls versus just 40,000 expected—sparked another round…
