2026.03.27 2026.03.27 XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 27.03.26–03.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,081.50 with a target of 5,610.00–6,000.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 4,081.50. Stop Loss: below 4,081.50, Take Profit: 5,610.00–6,000.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 4,081.50 will allow the…

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Oil prices are again rising into triple digit levels due to the lack of any breakthrough in the US-Iran “negotiations” and the increasing risk of an escalation over the weekend. Trump has been jawboning prices throughout the entire week with ceasefire comments and claims that Iran has been “begging” him for a deal. Meanwhile, the US military buildup in…

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Nordea’s Jan von Gerich notes that despite intense Middle East headlines and large market swings, Oil has not broken to new highs in recent weeks, while German yields have surged and equities weakened. He highlights that Nordea’s baseline assumes easing conflict and limited lasting impact on energy prices, though the probability of this benign scenario has clearly fallen. Energy…

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2026.03.27 2026.03.27 USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 27.03.26–03.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 0.8040 with a target of 0.7420–0.7200. A sell signal: the price holds below 0.8040. Stop Loss: above 0.8040, Take Profit: 0.7420–0.7200. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the…

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AUD/USD just slid to fresh monthly lows after breaking below a key consolidation zone. Will the pair pull back up to the broken support zone? Here’s what’s showing up on the 4-hour chart: AUD/USD 4-hour Forex Chart Faster with TradingView “Risk” and gold-linked currencies like the Australian dollar took hits this week as the U.S.-Israel war with Iran dragged…

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Prior +1.8%; revised to +2.0% Retail sales +2.5% vs +2.1% y/y expected Prior +4.5%; revised to +4.8% Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) -0.4% vs -0.8% m/m expected Prior +2.0%; revised to +2.2% Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) +3.4% vs +2.9% y/y expected Prior +5.5%; revised to +5.9% The drop here isn’t as bad as estimated, and that comes despite…

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The Indian Rupee (INR) opens lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after a holiday the previous day due to Ram Navami celebrations. The USD/INR pair rises to near 94.60, very close to its all-time high of 94.75, as market sentiment remains cautious amid confusion over peace talks between the United States (US) and Iran to end the…

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If you’ve been watching the yen lately, you’ve noticed that USD/JPY, the currency pair that tells you how many yen one dollar buys, has risen to a number that makes Japanese officials nervous: 160. Right now, the pair is trading around ¥159–159.54. Traders consider this an “Intervention Zone,” an area where the Japanese government has previously said, “Enough is…

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Summary: Trump pauses Iran energy strikes for 10 days, signalling diplomacy window Oil falls as immediate supply shock risk eases; gold rebounds Middle East tensions persist with attacks on US-linked regional assets Fed speakers reinforce “higher for longer” amid rising inflation pressures Japan signals FX intervention risk as yen weakness deepens China data strong but outlook clouded; LNG demand…

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USD/CAD halts its four-day winning streak, trading around 1.3850 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) softens on decreasing risk aversion after recent remarks from US President Donald Trump. Trump said Washington would pause attacks on Iran’s energy sector for 10 days at Tehran’s request, extending the April 6 deadline to allow…

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