Commerzbank economists Dr. Henry Hao and Volkmar Baur say China’s industrial profits surged early in 2026, led by AI-related electronics, but this strength predates the recent energy shock. With higher Oil prices now squeezing downstream margins and ending producer-price deflation via cost-push inflation, they argue the PBoC is unlikely to allow a strong CNY appreciation that could further hurt…
2026.03.27 2026.03.27 EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 27.03.26–03.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.1410 with a target of 1.2088–1.2400. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1410. Stop Loss: below 1.1410, Take Profit: 1.2088–1.2400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 1.1410 will allow the…
The major US stock indices are closing lower for the day and lower for the week. The decline this week is the 5th consecutive weekly decline. The S&P decline is the worst string in 4 years. A look at the closing levels shows: Dow industrial average-793.78 or -1.73% at 45166.33. S&P index fell -108.49 or -1.67% at 6368.67. NASDAQ…
Silver (XAG/USD) price turns positive on Friday after posting back-to-back bearish sessions, as heightened tensions in the Middle East decreased the white metal’s safe-haven appeal, prompting traders to turn to the US Dollar (USD). Nevertheless, buyers emerged, pushing XAG/USD higher and driving it near the $70.00 figure, up 2.70%. XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook Silver price seems poised to…
2026.03.27 2026.03.27 GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 27.03.26–03.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3207 with a target of 1.3870–1.4300. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3207. Stop Loss: below 1.3207, Take Profit: 1.3870–1.4300. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 1.3207…
Markets: WTI crude oil up $5.59 to $100.07 S&P 500 down 1.7% to 6368 Gold up $135 to $4513 US 10-year yields up 3.6 bps to 5.00% Bitcoin down 4.2% USD leads, GBP lags It was an ugly one for most markets today, with the exception of gold and oil. The Nasdaq fell to a six month low as…
UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, via Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting, notes that the central bank of the Philippines, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) kept the RRP (Reverse Repurchase Rate) rate at 4.25% in an off-cycle meeting as supply-driven inflation and Middle East risks intensify. The bank expects a prolonged policy pause, with core inflation and second-round…
2026.03.27 2026.03.27 Gold Faces Pressure as Liquidity Demand Rises. Forecast as of 27.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The same factors that pushed gold to record highs in 2022–2025 are now weighing on prices in 2026. The precious metal has shifted from a safe-haven asset to a source of liquidity for investors, putting it under bearish pressure. Let’s discuss it and make…
Trump joked about the “Strait of Trump” as the Iran war enters month two, with Hormuz disruptions persisting. Mixed signals on talks continue, while US stocks fell for a fifth week and NATO commitment concerns resurfaced. Summary Trump joked about the “Strait of Trump,” underscoring its central role in the Iran war and global oil flows Conflict enters second…
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng highlights that Thailand’s financial markets, particularly the Thai Baht (THB) and equities, are under pressure due to vulnerability to Middle East conflict-related commodity shocks. The report notes that upside inflation risks from the Iran war have likely closed room for further Bank of Thailand (BoT) easing, with markets pricing an unchanged policy…
