2025.06.03 2025.06.03 US Dollar Braces for Decline After ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ Passed. Forecast as of 03.06.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Since 2008, the negative balance of the US net international investment position has grown to an alarming $26 trillion. The US administration’s policy has initiated a reverse process, allowing the EURUSD pair to have room for growth. Let’s discuss this topic…

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GBP/JPY looks ready to extend a months-long downtrend! How low can Guppy go before the bulls step in? We’re taking a closer look at the pair’s daily chart patterns! GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart by TradingView The British pound has taken a hit in recent sessions as rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine spooked investors in the region. At the…

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There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. They are for EUR/USD at the 1.1400 and 1.1450 levels. As such, the expiries could play a role in limiting price action within that range in the session ahead. But as evident from yesterday, dollar and risk sentiment in general remain bigger drivers at…

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The Australian Dollar faced losses after the publication of the RBA Minutes from its May monetary policy meeting. China’s Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index contracted to 48.3 in May, against a 50.4 expansion in April. The US Dollar recovered some losses despite growing concerns regarding stagflation in the United States. The Australian Dollar (AUD) depreciated against the US Dollar…

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This week our currency strategists focused on the RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement for potential high-quality setups. Out of the four scenario/price outlook discussions this week, one discussion arguably saw both fundie & technical arguments triggered to become a potential candidate for a trade & risk management overlay. Watchlists are price outlook & strategy discussions supported by both fundamental &…

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Ugly number this one. A big, big miss. China Caixin May 2025 Manufacturing PMI 48.3 expected 50.7, prior 50.4 Over the weekend we had an improving, though still in contraction, official manufacturing PMI: The private-survey Caixin manufacturing PMI is awful though. — The two PMIs are quite different. If you are unfamiliar with this, the following will set you…

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Bank of Japan (BoJ) former board member Makoto Sakurai said on Tuesday that the Japanese central bank will probably halt its quarterly reductions in government bond purchases starting next fiscal year, per Bloomberg.  The BoJ has been trimming its bond-buying by ¥400 billion ($2.8 billion) every quarter since last summer, but recent pressure from rising yields has likely made…

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2025.06.02 2025.06.02 US Dollar Declines as Investors Assess US Tariff Outlook. Forecast as of 02.06.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Capital outflow from North America to Europe, the cooling of the US economy, and the imminent resumption of the Fed’s rate cut cycle are creating a solid foundation for an uptrend in the EURUSD pair. Let’s discuss this topic and make a…

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This week’s upcoming U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI report can provide early hints for Friday’s NFP report.  Will we see indications of stronger jobs growth that could fuel positive expectations? Or did the manufacturing sector continue reeling from higher tariffs? Here are the points to know when trading this major report. This Article Is For Premium Members…

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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you…

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