2025.07.14 2025.07.14 US Dollar Wins Battle But May Lose War. Forecast as of 14.07.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The actions of the US president appear to be contrary to his objective of weakening the US dollar. The Fed is delaying its decision to reduce interest rates due to high tariffs against Brazil, Canada, Mexico, and the EU. Let’s discuss this topic…
After Friday’s blockbuster jobs report, traders are wondering if Canada’s economy is running hotter than it looks. This week’s CPI will be the real test because if inflation stays tame, the BOC can sit tight a little longer, but if it heats up, rate cut hopes might go up in smoke. Here are points to know if…
Commerce Sec. Lutnick and USTR Greer to meet with GOP Ways and Means committee members about trade negotiations later this week. The Ways and Means Committee is in charge of Managing tariff and trade legislation, including free trade agreements Works with the U.S. Trade Representative and influences trade enforcement and customs policies. The Trump administration has pretty much usurped…
EUR/USD recovers from over two-week lows as traders reassess Trump’s tariff threats. US President Trump threatens 30% tariffs on all EU imports starting August 1. EU Commission proposes a second tranche of countermeasures targeting €72 billion worth of US imports. The Euro (EUR) regains ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, after hitting its lowest level in over…
2025.07.14 2025.07.14 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 14.07.2025 Alex Rodiоnovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ I welcome my fellow traders! I have made a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of margin zones methodology and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Short-term forecast for oil, gold, and euro-dollar…
“Recency bias” is a buzzword that gets tossed around frequently in trading circles, but what does it actually mean? Put simply, recency bias is the tendency for traders to focus exclusively on recent events while ignoring older data that may be just as relevant (or even more so). This bias undermines a trader’s market analysis by clouding judgment and…
USDCAD technicals The USDCAD surged briefly on early Friday following President Trump’s formal letter to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, announcing a 35% tariff on Canadian imports effective August 1. The move cited national security concerns over fentanyl smuggling and a persistent trade deficit. While the announcement initially sparked bullish momentum, the rally failed to hold as price action…
Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM): 0.2% (June) vs previous 0.43%
2025.07.14 2025.07.14 BoJ Rate Hike Expectations Fade. Forecast as of 14.07.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The Bank of Japan is reluctant to raise rates. The Japanese government refrains from giving in to pressure during negotiations with the US. USDJPY bears are facing strong headwinds. Meanwhile, the Japanese parliamentary elections are approaching. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. The…
With the latest FOMC meeting minutes highlighting a dovish split among Fed policymakers, will the upcoming U.S. CPI release settle the score when it comes to their inflation outlook? Expectations are for a slightly stronger pace of price pressures in June, but markets could still chalk this up to temporary tariffs’ impact. Here’s what you need to know when…
