UK house prices were seen steady, growing slightly again in February. That brings the average price of a dwelling in the UK to £273,176. The annual house price growth keeps unchanged as in January at +1.0%. Nationwide notes that: “This reinforces the view of a modest recovery after a dip at the end of 2025, most likely reflecting uncertainty…
India HSBC Manufacturing PMI in line with expectations (56.9) in February
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Markets: WTI crude oil up $3.74 to $5.6% US 10-year yields up 1.7 bps to 3.98% Gold up $80 to $5355 S&P 500 futures down 0.7% USD leads, GBP lags The whole market was holding its breath as oil futures opened to start the week and the initial price action was explosive with WTI hitting $75.33 and brent rising…
Israeli strikes were launched at Beirut’s southern suburbs on Monday as Hezbollah said it fired rockets and drones toward Israel in retaliation for the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Israeli military issues a broad evacuation order for several Lebanese towns Market reaction At the time of writing, the Gold price (XAU/USD) is trading 1.32% higher on the day…
Real interest rates still significantly negative; policy remains accommodative following December’s hike to 0.75% Natural rate of interest estimated between -1% and +0.5%, wide range makes precise policy calibration difficult Food price inflation primarily supply-side shock, not demand driven; expects deceleration below 2% in H1 2026 US economy resilience surprised to upside; AI-related investment spillover benefiting Japanese exporters and…
The NZD/USD pair tumbles to near 0.5955 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar (USD). Escalating tensions in the Middle East weigh on the riskier assets, such as the Kiwi. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran tensions. The US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report for February is due…
By now, everyone knows what’s happening as the US and Israel strike Iran. Here is the state of play one hour into futures trading: WTI crude up $5.37 to $72.40 (about 8%) Gold up 2% to $5385 The US dollar leads in FX, narrowly ahead of CHF AUD/USD is the biggest mover, down 60 pips (or 0.82%) to 0.7054…
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Comments from Trump in a newly-released video: On Iran: We have hit hundreds of targets including Revolutionary Guard facilities, air defense systems and nine ships plus naval building On Iran: Combat operations continue On Iran: Military operations will continue until all of our objectives are achieved There will likely be more U.S. casualties Iranian regime armed with long range…
