USD/CHF trades around 0.7800 on Monday at the time of writing, up 1.50% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) extends gains that were already in place before the release of US manufacturing data. The Greenback had been strengthening since the start of the day, supported primarily by the war in the Middle East. Escalation in the region…
2026.03.02 2026.03.02 Brent Skyrockets to 14-Month High. Forecast as of 02.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The US and Israeli strikes on Iran and Tehran’s response have propelled Brent prices to their highest level since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. How will the situation in the Middle East unfold? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. The article covers…
CAD/JPY is hanging out near a key inflection point that could help extend the pair’s 2026 gains. The recent U.S. and Israel attack on Iran has added fresh uncertainty to markets and pushed traders to pay closer attention to oil. That matters for CAD/JPY because the Canadian dollar tends to move with oil prices, while the Japanese yen can…
Bank of Canada — Kozicki Key Messages Policy Bias: Hawkish bias — willingness to prioritize inflation control even if growth softens. European Central Bank (ECB) Kocher Key Messages Policy Bias: Neutral / two-sided optionality Wunsch Key Messages Initial inclination is to look through Middle East developments. However, persistent higher oil prices would force reassessment. Policy Bias: Conditionally hawkish Makhlouf…
MUFG’s Teppei Ino notes that the Dollar’s advance against the Japanese Yen has stalled after the LDP’s landslide Lower House victory, as markets had already priced in the so‑called Takaichi trade and prior intervention warnings. With USD/JPY stuck in wide but directionless ranges, Ino expects Yen selling pressure to ease in March as monetary policy signals and the prime…
2026.03.02 2026.03.02 What Is a Stock Index and How Does It Work? Michael Hypovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/mikhail-hypov/ A stock index is not just a number on a screen. It is a key indicator that reflects the condition of a specific market segment or an entire national stock exchange. Through a stock market index, financial analysts can quickly assess overall market sentiment without…
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold started to rally steadily on Friday after we got various reports of evacuations that indicated a possible strike to follow over the weekend. Sure enough, the US and Israel launched a coordinated attack against various Iran’s targets that included key officials and military facilities. Their operation managed to kill Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei and many other…
Nomura’s Senior European Economist Andrzej Szczepaniak assesses how recent moves in crude Oil, Natural Gas and EUR/USD following the US/Israel conflict with Iran could affect euro area HICP and ECB expectations. He notes that current Oil and Gas price gains versus the ECB’s December 2025 assumptions may only marginally lift rate hike pricing into 2026–2027, leaving policy reaction limited…
2026.03.02 2026.03.02 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 02.03.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Today, oil prices opened with an upward…
If you checked trading platforms Sunday evening expecting panic, you saw something stranger: oil up, stocks barely down, bonds falling, Bitcoin rising. Markets don’t follow textbooks when nobody knows what happens next. Here’s what happened this weekend and why mixed signals matter more than clean crashes. What Happened This Weekend Over February 28 to March 1, 2026, the U.S….
