USDCAD Technicals: The ceiling for the week is being tested. Can the buyers push above it?

The The USDCAD is pressing higher in North American trading and once again testing a key topside ceiling that has capped the pair all week. That resistance zone has become increasingly well defined, which makes the current test especially important from a technical perspective. Looking back over the week, the high price on Monday reached 1.36065, Tuesday’s high came…

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Growth and inflation risks from energy shock – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan highlight that a Strait of Hormuz closure would hit India through Oil, Liquified Petroleum Gas and Natural Gas Liquids shortages, with spillovers to fertiliser, food production and inflation. The bank estimates every US$10/bbl Oil increase cuts GDP growth by 0.1–0.2pp and lifts inflation by about 0.2pp, with sustained US$100/bbl Oil likely pushing FY2026/27…

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Pound Slides On Increased Risk Aversion. Forecast as of 12.03.2026

2026.03.12 2026.03.12 Pound Slides On Increased Risk Aversion. Forecast as of 12.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ As in 2022, the UK may face an energy crisis triggered by armed conflict. The key question is whether the Bank of England will exercise the same caution it did back then, and whether it has learned from past policy missteps. Let’s discuss this topic…

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GBPUSD rejects a major trendline as US dollar bids return amid renewed risk aversion

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar weakened across the board earlier this week as oil prices fell following G7 discussion about emergency oil reserves release. The move accelerated after Trump told CBS that “the war could be over soon.” Traders began unwinding some of their positions, as expectations of a quick resolution led markets to dial back hawkish interest-rate…

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Hawkish words as oil shock risk rises – ING

ING’s Global Head of Macro Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank will keep rates unchanged at its 19 March meeting but adopt a more hawkish tone as the war in the Middle East and higher Oil prices revive memories of the 2022 energy shock. The ECB is seen shelving any rate cut discussion and focusing on inflation…

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Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD and EURUSD for Today (March 12, 2026)

2026.03.12 2026.03.12 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 12.03.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The euro extended its short-term downtrend yesterday….

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Oil prices continue to be the tail that is wagging the dog

It’s another day but it will be the same old story in markets as it has been since last week. Every inch of the broader market mood is fixated on the Middle East as the energy disruption continues to drag on. Despite whatever safety assurance or what Trump says about the war being won, the fact remains that the…

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Nasdaq consolidation likely to break lower [Video]

Since peaking on October 30, 2025, the Nasdaq (NQ) has remained in a sideways consolidation, a pattern that appears poised to resolve lower. The decline from that high marked the completion of wave (W) at 23,994.5. Subsequently, a corrective rally unfolded, ending wave (X) at 26,349, after which the Index turned down again into wave (Y). The internal structure…

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