Consolidation below key resistance – OCBC

OCBC’s FX Strategist Christopher Wong notes the Dollar Index eased as lower UST yields and softer Oil prices reduced safe-haven demand, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes adding no new hawkish impulse. He highlights ongoing bullish daily momentum but signs of an overbought reversal. US Dollar Index (DXY) is consolidating, with resistance around 99.40 and 100.50/60 and…

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Brent Set to Skyrocket As Hormuz Closure Drains Global Inventories. Forecast as of 21.05.2026

2026.05.21 2026.05.21 Brent Set to Skyrocket As Hormuz Closure Drains Global Inventories. Forecast as of 21.05.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The oil market remains relatively stable thanks to existing buffers and ongoing market adjustments. As the saying goes, the best cure for high prices is high prices themselves, since elevated costs eventually weaken demand. However, this self-correcting market process takes time….

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Australian Dollar Slides as April Jobs Shock Dims RBA Hike Expectations

Australia’s labour market delivered a sharp negative surprise in April, with employment falling for the first time since November and the unemployment rate climbing to its highest level since late 2021. The miss against expectations raised doubts about near-term RBA tightening and sent the Australian dollar broadly lower. Key Takeaways Employment fell 18,600 (m/m) in April to 14,737,400, badly…

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Germany’s fiscal situation is a case of geopolitical irony

Germany’s finance ministry just reported a €41 billion federal budget deficit at the end of April earlier today. For a country that has long been the “frugal superpower” of Europe, the deficit number is quite the red flag for something at this stage of the year. It all continues to point to major economic and structural strain, suggesting Germany’s…

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RBA comforted by softer data – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia argues that softer Australian labour data and activity indicators support the view that the Reserve Bank of Australia has likely peaked its cash rate at 4.35%. The bank highlights rising unemployment, weaker PMI and moderating wage growth, and sees a high bar for further hikes, with potential easing only if activity deteriorates sharply. Softer labour…

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Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD for Today (May 21, 2026)

2026.05.21 2026.05.21 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 21.05.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The euro is trading in a short-term…

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ECB policymaker Rehn: We are moving towards the adverse scenario

In the adverse scenario, it may be warranted to raise interest rates for the sake of credibility Don’t see any significant deviation in medium to long-term inflation expectations Wage growth is still moderating The comment in bold pretty much signals their intentions for the June meeting. As mentioned before, the ECB is up against a very difficult task in…

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