2026.01.19 2026.01.19 US Dollar Fears Trade War. Forecast as of 19.01.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The US dollar’s impressive performance in 2026 was overshadowed by Donald Trump’s hard-line stance on taking over Greenland. He is even prepared to start a trade war to make this happen. How will this affect the EUR/USD pair? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading…

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The dollar survived criminal probes and tariff threats last week. This week brings PCE inflation, BOJ decisions, China GDP, and Davos drama, so it’s not for the faint of heart.

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Japan household inflation expectations ease slightly but remain elevated, BOJ survey shows Summary: One-year inflation expectations ease but remain very high Households expect prices to rise 11.6% on average over next year Long-term inflation expectations remain elevated Slight softening offers limited reassurance for BOJ Inflation psychology still deeply entrenched Japanese households continue to expect prices to rise sharply over…

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USD/CAD halts its four-day winning streak, trading around 1.3900 during the Asian hour on Monday. The pair depreciates as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives support from higher Oil prices, given Canada’s status as the largest crude exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around…

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The U.K.’s December employment figures arrive at a tricky time for Sterling, with traders already positioning around weakening labor dynamics and persistent wage pressures that complicate the Bank of England’s inflation outlook. What exactly are markets expecting from this week’s report? Here are the points you need to know if you’re trading the news release: This Article…

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Noting the data, I’ll be back separately with more on all this. Gross Domestic Product for Q4 2025 4.5% y/y is a beat y/y and q/q expected 4.4%, prior 4.8% 1.2% q/q expected 1.0%, prior 1.1% December 2025 data: Retail Sales 0.9% y/y expected 1.2%, prior 1.3% Industrial Production 5.2% y/y expected 5.0%, prior 4.8% Fixed Asset Investment -3.8%…

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Summary: UK asking prices rise 2.8% m/m, biggest January jump on record Prices now 0.5% higher y/y after recent weakness Housing supply at highest seasonal level since 2014 Confidence improves after budget uncertainty fades Affordability pressures still limit upside UK asking prices recorded their strongest rise for this time of year on record, signalling a tentative rebound in seller…

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Neither S&P 500 nor Nasdaq could challenge Thursday‘s highs – opportunity to sell was acted upon right off the opening bell. Both decent intraday recoveries failed, and the indices closed on a risk-off mode – taking risk down was visible in the leader Russell 2000 as well.

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