South Korea secures alternative oil as Hormuz disruption hits supplies AUD, NZD fall as oil surge and ongoing war risks lift stagflation fears PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8880 (vs. estimate at 6.8764) Trump offers no new Iran signals; markets turn cautious after speech Trump spoke without adding new info, still a 2-3 timeline, no…
The GBP/USD pair meets fresh supply during the Asian session on Thursday. It retreats further from the weekly high, which was around the 1.3345 area touched the previous day. Spot prices decline to the mid-1.3200s after US President Donald Trump’s comments. These comments stall a two-day recovery move from a four-month low set on Tuesday. Addressing the nation, Trump…
2026.04.01 2026.04.01 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 01.04.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The last part of impulse 5 appears to be developing. Consider short positions with Take Profit at 60,915.12. XRPUSD: The price…
EUR/GBP shows a bearish Stochastic crossover on the daily, implying a conditional cooling of upside momentum and pullback risk. Will price confirm the rollover with a pullback, or will buyers reclaim momentum?
Hedge funds hit by worst drawdown in years as volatility forces de-risking. Summary: Hedge funds suffer worst monthly drawdown since January 2022 Fundamental long/short strategies hit hardest across all regions Asia-focused funds lead losses, followed by Europe and US Volatility from Iran war and cross-asset moves drove de-risking Systematic strategies outperform as discretionary funds struggle Global hedge funds endured…
The GBP/JPY edges higher by nearly 0.60% on Wednesday as the market mood improved amid speculation of a possible end to Iran’s war. Although the pair found support at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 210.08, sentiment remains fragile amid geopolitical uncertainty. GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook After clearing the bottom of a bearish flag, the GBP/JPY rallied…
2026.04.01 2026.04.01 US Dollar Slips As Middle East De-escalation Hopes Grow. Forecast as of 01.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ If the conflict in the Middle East ends, US stock indices and the euro may fall, while the rapid rally in the US dollar and oil prices will give way to sell-offs. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for…
The dollar is winning the safe-haven battle — for now. But with an ECB rate hike increasingly priced in and an Iran deadline days away, EUR/USD may not stay quiet for long.
The NZDUSD pushed higher yesterday and extended the move again today, but upside momentum stalled where it matters most technically. On the hourly chart, the pair made three separate attempts to break above the 38.2% retracement at 0.57714 (from the March 20 high). While price briefly traded above that level twice, buyers could not generate enough follow-through to test—let…
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Asian currencies recovered as risk sentiment improved following comments from US President Trump on ending the Iran war, even as Oil prices stayed elevated. He remains skeptical that a durable peace deal is near and advises caution in positioning, highlighting China’s diplomatic role and the broader geopolitical risks for Asia FX…
