WTI Crude Oil: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 03.04.26–10.04.26

2026.04.03 2026.04.03 WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 03.04.26–10.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 93.07 with a target of 126.00–150.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 93.07. Stop Loss: below 93.07, Take Profit: 126.00–150.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 93.07 will…

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The USMCA review is shaping up to be a grind, not a grand bargain

The July 1 deadline for the USMCA six-year review is approaching and almost nobody in trade circles believes it will be met cleanly. A Scotiabank-hosted event in Mexico City this week with CSIS fellow Diego Marroquín Bitar laid out why, and the takeaway is straightforward: expect a drawn-out, painful process that extends well into 2027, with plenty of uncertainty…

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USD/CAD edges higher after strong US NFP

The USD/CAD rises some 0.14% on Friday after an outstanding employment report in the US, which nearly tripled economists’ projections, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3936 on thin liquidity trading as most global markets remain shut due to Good Friday. Strong payrolls revive Fed hold bets…

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XAU/USD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 03.04.26–10.04.26

2026.04.03 2026.04.03 XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 03.04.26–10.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,340.00 with a target of 5,610.00–6,000.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 4,340.00. Stop Loss: below 4,340.00, Take Profit: 5,610.00–6,000.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 4,340.00 will allow the…

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What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?

The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on the upper bound of the range, so…

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March NFP in focus as US-Iran war clouds Fed outlook

The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for March on Friday at 12:30 GMT.  Investors will scrutinize the underlying details of the employment report to assess whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to consider an interest-rate hike later in the year. Still, the immediate market reaction could remain subdued,…

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USD/CHF: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 03.04.26–10.04.26

2026.04.03 2026.04.03 USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 03.04.26–10.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 0.7595 with a target of 0.8220–0.8400. A buy signal: the price holds above 0.7595. Stop Loss: below 0.7595, Take Profit: 0.8220–0.8400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the…

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