2025.08.18 2025.08.18 Peso Enjoys Roaring Carry Trades. Forecast as of 18.08.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The popularity of carry trades, expectations of a Fed rate cut, the Bank of Mexico’s cautious approach, and the 90-day tariff delay for Mexico are driving the USDMXN exchange rate lower. How long will bears dominate the market? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading…
Forex trading is one of the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. Every day, traders across the globe buy and sell currency pairs to take advantage of price movements driven by economic, political, and market-related factors. According to the Triennial Survey, trading in over-the-counter (OTC) forex markets reached $7.5 trillion per day in April 2022, a 14% increase…
Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 55 bps (84% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 11 bps (93% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 15bps (94% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 22 bps (64% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 37 bps (66% probability of no change…
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2025.08.18 2025.08.18 US Dollar Declines As Tariff Worries Resurface. Forecast as of 18.08.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ More than half of US foreign trade is duty-free. Furthermore, switching to American products supports the economy. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for the EURUSD pair. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways The euro is rising on hopes…
NZD/CHF is catching a bounce from a key support area, right as the SMAs start pointing to a possible shift higher. Will NZD/CHF retest higher areas of interest in the next few days? We’re taking a closer look at the 4-hour time frame! NZD/CHF 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView The New Zealand dollar struggled last week after a hotter-than-expected…
I reckon the narrative going into Jackson Hole this year is rather clear. If you’re expecting Powell to reaffirm rate cut expectations, you’d be sorely disappointed. But in that sense, can we argue that market players are quite evidently favouring Powell to adopt a more hawkish tone? Or at least to not conform to the more dovish bias heading…
XAU/USD rises 0.17% to $3,340, trapped between $3,330 and $3,350 since late Thursday’s session. US Dollar fails to rally after in-line July Retail Sales and upward June revision; sentiment weakens, inflation expectations rise. US Dollar Index drops 0.37% to 97.83, while high Treasury yields cap Gold’s upside momentum. Gold price (XAU/USD) holds firm during the North American session as…
Welcome back, currency warriors! This week’s shaping up to be absolutely electric with Powell taking center stage at Jackson Hole. Here’s what to watch out for.
Retail names will take centre stage for US earnings this week, with names like Walmart, Target and Home Depot on the schedule. As always, it’s not just about the numbers, but company guidance will be watched closely, especially around tariffs and how firms plan to handle any cost pressures. More specifically, a question many want answered is whether retailers…
