The stock market is struggling to decide on whether it likes rate cuts enough to ignore a weakening economy. I highlighted earlier that there are 135 bps in cuts priced in over the next year and 155 bps through 2026. That gets rates below 3% and feels like ‘peak Fed pricing’ or something close. The problem is that removes…
USD/CHF breaks under 50-day SMA at 0.8020, closing below 0.8000 with momentum favoring further downside. Bears eye 0.7950 and July 23 low at 0.7911, with path open toward year-to-date trough at 0.7872. Buyers must reclaim 0.8000 and 50-day SMA to challenge resistance at 0.8047 and 100-day SMA at 0.8122. The USD/CHF extended its losses on Friday, tumbling below the…
2025.09.05 2025.09.05 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 05.09.2025 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on the Elliott wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The completion of impulse 1 will likely be followed by a correction 2 targeting 115,940.00. Consider long positions. XRPUSD: An…
It’s a bull market in many markets at the moment but certainly not in oil, which is likely to get more bad news on Sunday. Initial reports about Saudi Arabia pushing for a further production hike circulated on Friday and lowered crude by $1.51 but it’s likely to fall even more if/when the hike is delivered. Reuters reports that…
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2025.09.05 2025.09.05 US Dollar Holds Steady Ahead of Crucial US Jobs Data. Forecast as of 05.09.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The question of whether the Fed will cut interest rates at its next meeting has already been practically answered. However, employment data may give markets a hint about what will happen next. How low will the Fed reduce the rate in…
The euro has been one of the beneficiaries of a weakening US dollar following another soft non-farm payrolls report. It’s up 96 pips to 1.1745 and touched as high as 1.1759. That’s a fresh high since July 27 and looks like a breakout from the recent period of consolidation, particularly if it can close above the August highs. If…
Colombia Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.19% below forecasts (0.2%) in August
2025.09.05 2025.09.05 USD/СAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 05.09.25 – 12.09.25 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Once the correction ends, consider long positions above the level of 1.3535 with a target of 1.4018 – 1.4168. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3535. Stop Loss: below 1.3460, Take Profit: 1.4018 –…
It was a soggy start for European stocks this month as most indexes sagged this month. The DAX tried to recover mid-week but never made it and today’s selling put it near the lows of the week. Closing changes on the day: Stoxx 600 -0.2% German DAX -0.85% France CAC -0.4% UK FTSE 100 -0.1% Spain IBEX -0.6% Italy’s…
