The U.S. Producer Price Index unexpectedly fell 0.1% m/m in August, bringing annual wholesale inflation to 2.6% – well below economist expectations. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also declined 0.1% monthly and rose 2.8% y/y, missing forecasts. The surprisingly soft inflation data confirmed that businesses are absorbing tariff costs rather than passing them through…
The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on the upper bound of the range, so…
The Euro extends its decline against the British Pound for a second straight day. Traders stay cautious ahead of the ECB monetary policy decision on Thursday. Political unrest in France and NATO consultations after Poland’s airspace breach weigh on Euro sentiment. The Euro (EUR) extends its decline against the British Pound (GBP) for a second consecutive day on Wednesday,…
2025.09.11 2025.09.11 EURUSD Remains Moderately Bullish Ahead of US CPI and ECB Rate Decision. Forecast as of 11.09.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Markets believe that the European Central Bank has put an end to its cycle of monetary expansion. However, the political crisis in France, along with other geopolitical factors, may force the EU regulator to change its mind. Let’s discuss…
EUR/GBP is poppin’ up long wicks near a key trend support zone. Think the pair will extend its uptrend in the next trading sessions? Let’s take a look at the 4-hour time frame! EUR/GBP 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView The ECB takes the stage today, and judging from members’ speeches we’ve heard lately, they may not sound quite as…
There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold below. There is one for EUR/USD at the 1.1700 level and the expiries there could just act as a bit more of a magnet to lock price action before we get to the ECB and US CPI report later in the day. Those are the two…
United States Producer Price Index (MoM) below expectations (0.3%) in August: Actual (-0.1%)
Markets shifted gears on Wednesday as softer U.S. producer prices, looming ECB uncertainty, and rising geopolitical tensions set the stage for Thursday’s all-important CPI release. With Fed rate cut odds near 90% and policy divergence in play, traders are bracing for a potentially volatile session. Check out the headlines and economic updates you may have missed in the latest trading…
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has authorised the country’s banks to expand their use of cryptocurrencies in a bid to counter the impact of international sanctions and shore up the struggling economy. At a meeting with central and commercial bank leaders, Lukashenko called for urgent action to treat digital assets as strategic tools to stabilise and grow the financial system,…
United States Producer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (3.3%) in August: Actual (2.6%)
