U.K. inflation held steady at 3.8% y/y in September, unexpectedly coming in below the 4.0% forecast by economists and the Bank of England (BOE). The largest downward contributions came from food and non-alcoholic beverages, where inflation fell to 4.5% from 5.1% in August, marking the first slowdown since March. Recreation and culture prices also helped ease pressure, while transport…
Headlines: Markets: AUD leads, JPY lags on the day European equities mixed; S&P 500 futures down 0.2% US 10-year yields up 3.6 bps to 3.99% Gold up 0.4% to $4,112.55 WTI crude oil up 3.7% to $61.56 Bitcoin up 1.2% to $109,008 The session was a relatively quiet one though the market moves were fairly modest. There weren’t any…
GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling remains fragile GBP/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.3350 after closing the previous four trading days in negative territory. As investors await the key September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the United States, which will be published on Friday, the technical outlook suggests that the bearish bias remains…
2025.10.23 2025.10.23 The Dollar vs the Fed: Who’s Right This Time? Forecast as of 23.10.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Playing tag with the Fed is investors’ favorite pastime. However, rising US inflation suggests that the central bank might actually be right this time — and that’s good news for the dollar. Let’s explore it and make a trading plan for EUR/USD. The…
With official U.S. data releases pushed back a couple of weeks already, market players are likely itching to find out how the economy fared in the past month. Expectations for the September CPI are pointing to another 0.4% monthly uptick in price pressures, possibly bringing the annual reading up to 3.0%. Here’s what to expect in…
Financial market situation was characterized by low volatility in the third quarter of 2025. Signs of a cooling in the US labour market increased market expectations of a further easing of monetary policy in the US. The governing board concluded that the current implementation of monetary policy was appropriate under various scenarios and should therefore be maintained. US tariffs…
Turkey Consumer Confidence dipped from previous 83.9 to 83.6 in October
2025.10.20 2025.10.20 The Dollar Turned Everything Upside Down. Forecast as of 20.10.2025. Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ It looked like the EURUSD bears were about to lose the week ending October 17. However, the TACO trade, France’s credit rating downgrade, and political events in Japan helped them recover. Let’s discuss it and make a trading plan. The article covers the following subjects:…
NZD/USD looks ready to make fresh monthly lows as it finds resistance near a key inflection point! Think we’ll see further NZD/USD losses in the next trading sessions? Here’s what’s cooking on the 4-hour time frame: NZD/USD 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView With no major data releases out of New Zealand this week, the New Zealand dollar’s moves have…
Markets: Gold down $2 to $4091 WTI crude up $1.60 to $60.10 S&P 500 futures up 7 points Nikkei 225 down 1.3% USD leads, JPY lags The main news of the day was the US announcing fresh sanctions on Russian oil, this time hitting the two largest oil producers: Lukoil and Rosneft. We don’t have details yet on whether…
