Event Guide: U.K. Monthly GDP Report (July 2025)

We’ve got a fresh batch of growth figures from the U.K. economy this week! Will the GDP data make or break BOE policy expectations? Here’s what to expect when trading this potential market catalyst. This Article Is For Premium Members Only Become a Premium member for full website access, plus get: Ad-free experience Daily actionable short-term…

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USDCHF falls to the 100 hour MA after the US jobless claims

Yesterday at this time, the technical bias tilt was to the downside (see post HERE) with the price below the 100-hour moving average. However, the price rebounded in the session and was able to extend back above that moving average by the close. Today, the USDCHF pair initially pushed higher and the early U.S. session, the price broke above…

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Silver Rides Wave of Arbitrage and Spread Trading. Forecast as of 11.09.2025

2025.09.11 2025.09.11 Silver Rides Wave of Arbitrage and Spread Trading. Forecast as of 11.09.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Due to concerns about the introduction of US tariffs on silver imports, silver bullion is fleeing Europe and moving to the US. This creates a price difference between New York and London and an opportunity for the arbitrage trade. Let’s discuss this topic…

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USD Weakened After PPI Surprise, Trump’s Rate Cut Demands Added Pressure

The U.S. Producer Price Index unexpectedly fell 0.1% m/m in August, bringing annual wholesale inflation to 2.6% – well below economist expectations. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also declined 0.1% monthly and rose 2.8% y/y, missing forecasts. The surprisingly soft inflation data confirmed that businesses are absorbing tariff costs rather than passing them through…

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What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?

The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on the upper bound of the range, so…

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Euro slides against Pound as ECB decision looms amid geopolitical tensions

The Euro extends its decline against the British Pound for a second straight day. Traders stay cautious ahead of the ECB monetary policy decision on Thursday. Political unrest in France and NATO consultations after Poland’s airspace breach weigh on Euro sentiment. The Euro (EUR) extends its decline against the British Pound (GBP) for a second consecutive day on Wednesday,…

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EURUSD Remains Moderately Bullish Ahead of US CPI and ECB Rate Decision. Forecast as of 11.09.2025

2025.09.11 2025.09.11 EURUSD Remains Moderately Bullish Ahead of US CPI and ECB Rate Decision. Forecast as of 11.09.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Markets believe that the European Central Bank has put an end to its cycle of monetary expansion. However, the political crisis in France, along with other geopolitical factors, may force the EU regulator to change its mind. Let’s discuss…

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Chart Art: EUR/GBP’s Uptrend Support Near .8650

EUR/GBP is poppin’ up long wicks near a key trend support zone. Think the pair will extend its uptrend in the next trading sessions? Let’s take a look at the 4-hour time frame! EUR/GBP 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView The ECB takes the stage today, and judging from members’ speeches we’ve heard lately, they may not sound quite as…

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