After months of easing, the Governing Council decided that 2.00% is the magic number—the “neutral” rate where they can sit back and let the economy hum. But if you listened to Philip Lane today, the humming sounds more like a sputter. Lane’s presentation at the CBI workshop was a masterclass in saying “we are done cutting” while simultaneously showing…
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is on a three-day winning streak, although gains are modest, the index is heading into the weekly close near the 98.60 price region, after a softer-than-expected United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released on Thursday, briefly weighing on the US Dollar. Doubts about the quality of the inflation slowdown arose on Friday,…
2025.12.19 2025.12.19 EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.1612 with a target of 1.1915 – 1.2100. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1612. Stop Loss: below 1.1612, Take Profit: 1.1915 – 1.2100. Alternative…
The German DAX has been bouncing around for months but shook off some selling at the start of the week to post a solid gain. It was indicative of the continent, which finished Friday solid to cap an ok week. There was better strength in southern Europe, just like there has been all year. The UK also benefitted from…
By using the Elliott Wave (EW) Principle, we expected in our previous update from December 5, see here, for the SP500 (SPX) that “…we anticipate a slight pullback in the gray 4th wave to around 6785-6825 before the next upward move (gray W-v) begins. The latter could then ideally reach 6930-7010. …. The short-term warning levels for the Bulls…
2025.12.19 2025.12.19 The Krona Is the Best Currency on Forex. Forecast as of 19.12.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ For a long time, Sweden’s economy stagnated. However, large-scale fiscal and monetary stimulus, along with increased EU defense spending, helped revive it. As a result, the krona is set to become the best-performing G10 currency. Let’s discuss it and make a trading plan…
U.S. headline CPI eased from 3.0% to 2.7% year-on-year in November versus expectations of an uptick to 3.1%. However, analysts took the numbers with a grain of salt since the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) did not collect any data from October due to the government shutdown. Key Takeaways Headline CPI rose 2.7% year-over-year in November, down from 3.0%…
It was a week in two parts as heavy selling hit markets to start the week as the post-FOMC slump continued. That turned around yesterday in part due to strong revenues from Micron and the bounce continued today. A lower US CPI also helped even if it was likely skewed by data collections problems due to the government shutdown….
Gold (XA/USD) surges during the North American session on Friday, up 0.30% despite rising US Treasury bond yields and of the US Dollar, which is poised to finish the week with modest gains of 0.25%. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,344 after bouncing off daily lows of $4,309. Bullion advances late Friday despite rising US yields,…
2025.12.19 2025.12.19 GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3306 with a target of 1.3783 – 1.4050. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3306. Stop Loss: below 1.3306, Take Profit: 1.3783 – 1.4050. Alternative…
