2026.03.24 2026.03.24 Pound Surges After BoE Policy U-Turn. Forecast as of 24.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The pound is highly sensitive to developments in the oil market, but monetary policy remains a key driver. The Bank of England may raise the repo rate twice in 2026 to prevent inflation from climbing back toward 5%. Let’s discuss this topic and make a…
Australia is about to drop its last CPI report untouched by the oil price shock! Our Event Guide for Australia’s February CPI Report suggests that, after the RBA’s hawkish hike last week, any downside reaction in AUD may be limited. Here’s why AUD/USD and EUR/AUD are the setups to watch if inflation comes in as expected or slightly cooler.
Prior was +2.8% Productivity +1.8% vs +2.0% expected (lowest since Q1 2025) Prior productivity +2.8% These numbers are very tough to draw conclusions from. There is so much variance in quarterly unit costs and productivity that the trend isn’t clear until years later. On the surface, we got weaker productivity and higher labor inflation than anticipated. The Fed isn’t…
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that USD/JPY is trading directionless just below 159.00 as Japanese inflation slowed in February but is expected to rebound. Despite softer headline and core CPI, underlying inflation remains above the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) fiscal 2026 projection. Strong spring wage negotiations are seen justifying a resumption of BoJ rate hikes at the…
2026.03.24 2026.03.24 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 24.03.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The euro is testing the key resistance…
GBP/USD is knocking on a key range resistance area. Will Cable turn lower as it did on previous retests, or are we finally looking at a potential breakout in the next couple of days? Let’s zoom in on the 4-hour time frame: GBP/USD 4-hour Forex Chart Faster with TradingView The U.K. CPI is due this week, and traders may…
Prior 50.9 Services PMI 51.2 vs 52.5 expected Prior 53.5 Composite PMI 51.9 vs 52.0 expected Prior 53.2 I would ignore the headline figures as they don’t reflect the real picture. The commentary is clearly pointing to stagflationary pressures from the US-Iran war and the longer it persists, the worse the negative impact on the economy will be. Key…
Executive summary Trend Bias: Down as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) may have finalized its first bearish leg lower. Key Level: ~50,499 (start of the bearish wave). A break below 45,369 may usher in another 10% decline to 42k . Previously, on February 24, we warned that a break below 48,731 opens the door of a decline to…
2026.03.24 2026.03.24 US Dollar Retreats On Trump’s Latest TACO Move. Forecast as of 24.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ No matter how encouraging the headlines may sound, optimism surrounding US–Iran talks should be treated with caution. Rumors of negotiations have boosted risk appetite and pushed the US dollar lower. Yet, the credibility of these reports remains highly questionable. Let’s discuss this topic…
Interest rate hike expectations are running pretty high for the RBA, so a hotter inflation print could seal the deal for May. Our Event Guide for Australia’s CPI notes that underlying metrics like services inflation could already reflect sticky price pressures, even before energy costs surged during the US-Iran war. Here’s what I’m watching on AUD/CHF and AUD/CAD if…
