ECB Fails to Support Euro. Forecast as of 19.12.2025

2025.12.19 2025.12.19 ECB Fails to Support Euro. Forecast as of 19.12.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Neither the ECB’s optimism about the eurozone economy nor the slowdown in US inflation has forced the markets to change their stance. They expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged until March, implying that the US dollar may strengthen. Let’s discuss this topic and make a…

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December final UMich consumer sentiment 52.9 vs 53.4 expected

Prelim was 53.3 Prior was 51.0 Conditions 50.4 vs 50.7 prelim Expectations 54.6 vs 55.0 prelim 10year inflation 4.2% vs 4.1% prelim (prior was 4.5%) 5-year inflation 3.2% vs 3.2% prelim (prior was 3.4%) In the preliminary report, the big surprise was the drop in inflation expectations. Now that tends to correlate with gasoline prices so I’d take it…

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United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count down to 406 from previous 414

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USD/CAD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25

2025.12.19 2025.12.19 USD/CAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3870 with a target of 1.3570 – 1.3434. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.3870. Stop Loss: above 1.3870, Take Profit: 1.3570 – 1.3434. Alternative…

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USD/JPY jumps to one-month high as Yen slides after BoJ rate hike

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens sharply against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the Yen slumps across the board following the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision. At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading around 157.48, up nearly 1.20%, its highest level since November 21. Earlier in the Asian session, the BoJ raised its policy rate by…

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USD/CHF: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25

2025.12.19 2025.12.19 USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 0.7990 with a target of 0.7700 – 0.7500. A sell signal: the price holds below 0.7990. Stop Loss: above 0.7990, Take Profit: 0.7700 – 0.7500. Alternative…

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Winter Holiday blues after Central Banks’ frenzy

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is on a three-day winning streak, although gains are modest, the index is heading into the weekly close near the 98.60 price region, after a softer-than-expected United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released on Thursday, briefly weighing on the US Dollar. Doubts about the quality of the inflation slowdown arose on Friday,…

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EUR/USD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25

2025.12.19 2025.12.19 EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 19.12.25 – 26.12.25 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.1612 with a target of 1.1915 – 1.2100. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1612. Stop Loss: below 1.1612, Take Profit: 1.1915 – 1.2100. Alternative…

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