Eight reasons why the US is headed towards an inflation problem

It’s time for a break from the regular-scheduled non-stop talk about the Iran war and Nasdaq because I’m increasingly worried that the US is headed for an inflation problem. It’s some consolation that Powell will stick around as a Fed Governor but I think there is a chill on the Fed and it’s reluctant to raise rates. If that…

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Weak confidence clouds activity outlook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists note that firm and consumer confidence fell more than expected in April, with Commission indices at multi‑year lows. Despite slightly positive 1Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP), domestic demand appears subdued and credit conditions are tightening. They see healthy balance sheets and AI (Artificial intelligence), energy and defence investment as potential buffers against a sharper slowdown. Confidence…

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Aussie Builds Momentum Ahead of RBA Rate Decision. Forecast as of 04.05.2026

2026.05.04 2026.05.04 Aussie Builds Momentum Ahead of RBA Rate Decision. Forecast as of 04.05.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The Reserve Bank of Australia intends to raise its key interest rate for the third consecutive time. However, the AUD/USD pair’s trajectory will depend on its rhetoric. Will the cycle of monetary tightening continue, or should we expect a pause? Let’s analyze the…

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Iran’s IRGC Spokesperson: Any vessel violating Iran’s rules will be stopped by force

A spokesperson for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) declared that any vessel violating the Islamic Republic’s maritime rules will be stopped by force. The warning, delivered through the state-linked Fars News Agency, serves as a direct challenge to a newly unveiled American initiative designed to break the maritime deadlock in the region. This comes in immediate response to…

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$1.1 Trillion AI Capex by 2027 turns the race

A rewrite of both the Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs latest missives. 1.1 Trillion AI Capex by 2027 Last weekend in London delivered the kind of blue sky that makes the city feel like a different market altogether, and it happened to frame a moment that speaks directly to what is unfolding in equities. London Marathon produced something extraordinary…

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Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD for Today (May 4, 2026)

2026.05.04 2026.05.04 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 04.05.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The euro continues to trade within a…

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Japanese Yen’s Defense: When Governments Fight the Market

After USD/JPY tested the yen-tervention line in the sand above 160.00 last week, the Japanese government quickly stepped in to drag it back down.  Japan’s Ministry of Finance had reportedly spent around ¥5.5 trillion (approximately $35 billion) in its third major intervention campaign since 2022, and markets seem to be bracing for more. Here’s exactly how currency intervention works,…

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Gold price in Pakistan: Rates on May 4

Gold prices fell in Pakistan on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet. The price for Gold stood at 41,301.61 Pakistani Rupees (PKR) per gram, down compared with the PKR 41,357.44 it cost on Friday. The price for Gold decreased to PKR 481,733.80 per tola from PKR 482,385.10 per tola on friday. Unit measure Gold Price in PKR 1…

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