BNY’s EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu notes that FX risk appetite and carry trades have stayed resilient despite weaker global equities, with investors adding to overheld high-yielders such as MXN, BRL and PLN, and some low-yielding Asia-Pacific currencies. G10 Dollar-bloc currencies like AUD, CAD and NZD are being used as funding, but potential tightening pivots there pose a key…
2026.02.18 2026.02.18 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 18.02.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on the Elliott Wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The final part of impulse (A) is likely developing. The price may decline to 60,622.63. Consider short positions. XRPUSD:…
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.25% today, signaling that monetary policy will remain accommodative for the time being as the economy recovers from a prolonged downturn. The decision was unanimous and widely expected by market participants. Key points from the RBNZ statement: Annual CPI inflation rose to 3.1% in…
The USDCHF has been stuck in a relatively tight 80-pip trading range over the last five to six trading days. For a full week of activity, that’s fairly compressed price action. When volatility contracts like this, it often precedes expansion — meaning at some point the pair is likely to break and run. The key question is direction. Short-term…
United States Industrial Production (MoM) above forecasts (0.4%) in January: Actual (0.7%)
2026.02.18 2026.02.18 Yen Awaits Takaichi’s Decision. Forecast as of 18.02.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Will the Japanese prime minister pursue fiscal consolidation, as the IMF is urging? Alternatively, will she begin to use her power to engage in profligate spending? Sanae Takaichi’s actions will determine the trajectory of the USD/JPY pair. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. The…
Cable is stuck in a holding pattern just above a longer-term ascending trend line. Which direction could it break out this time? Take a look at these potential upside and downside targets on the 4-hour time frame. GBP/USD 4-hour Forex Chart Faster with TradingView Weaker than expected U.K. jobs data continued to fuel expectations for further Bank of England…
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has been trading mostly sideways after the hot US NFP report and the slightly soft US CPI data of last week. The market firmed up rate cut bets with 60 bps of easing seen by year-end but overall, the data didn’t really change anything in the bigger picture. The bearish positioning in the…
Crude Oil prices are trimming some of Tuesday’s losses on Wednesday, reaching session highs near $62.50 per barrel, after bouncing from two-week lows at $61,76. Investors are starting to reassess the chances of a US-Iran deal after the second round of conversations ended without any tangible advance The Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, affirmed after the end of the…
2026.02.18 2026.02.18 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 18.02.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The euro continues to trade in a…
