USDCHF comes off the boil, but prior swing area support is stalling the fall. What next?

The USD/CHF rally has finally “come off the boil” following two days of aggressive, war-driven safe-haven buying. After a sharp breakout above its recent trading range and the 50% retracement level (0.78206), the pair surged toward the 61.8% retracement at 0.78726. However, that momentum stalled at a high of 0.7878, leading to a rotation back down and a daily…

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US private sector payrolls rise 63,000 in February vs 50,000 forecast

Private sector employment in the US rose 63,000 in February and annual pay was up 4.5%, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 11,000 increase (revised from 22,000) recorded in January and beat the market expectation of 50,000. Commenting on the survey’s findings, “we’ve seen an increase in hiring and pay gains…

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Aussie Eyes More Gains As Rate Hike Remains In Play. Forecast as of 04.03.2026

2026.03.04 2026.03.04 Aussie Eyes More Gains As Rate Hike Remains In Play. Forecast as of 04.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The strong economy and the RBA’s intention to raise the key rate are facing serious headwinds from risk aversion and rising oil prices. Notably, the latter is unfavorable for global GDP. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for…

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Chart Art: NZD/USD Is Testing Its Trend Support Near .5900

NZD/USD is poppin’ up interesting candlesticks near a key area of interest! Will this week’s market themes help extend NZD/USD’s uptrend? We’re checkin’ out the daily chart for more clues: NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Faster with TradingView Unlike the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar didn’t get much support from expectations of a more hawkish central bank or from…

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Gold struggles below $5,200 despite geopolitical tensions

Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains and remains below the $5,200 mark through the first half of the European session on Wednesday. Investors remain concerned about a prolonged conflict in the Middle East and its impact on the global economy amid an already uncertain environment. In fact, US President Donald Trump said that the US…

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Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD and EURUSD for Today (March 4, 2026)

2026.03.04 2026.03.04 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 04.03.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Oil is rising within a short-term uptrend….

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Australian Economy Grew Faster Than Expected in Q4 2025, AUD Still Weak

Australia’s economy grew 0.8% in the December quarter of 2025 in seasonally adjusted chain volume terms, according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The result matched the pace recorded in the June quarter and marked a clear acceleration from the 0.5% expansion in the September quarter. Through the year, the economy expanded 2.6%, which marks a…

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FX option expiries for 4 March 10am New York cut

There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below. That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1600 level. The expiries might just help to keep price action more restricted in the session ahead but as is the case in the days before, expect the impact to be rather limited at best. That…

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The Nasdaq has now completed a Double Top formation

The NASDAQ has now completed a Double Top formation, beginning on 30th October and completing on 28th January. After this week’s losses, the market is sitting directly on a major support zone where the 200‑day M/A intersects with long‑term trendline support at 24,246. This is a critical line of defence. Buyers need to aggressively defend this area. If they…

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