The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on the upper bound of the range, so…
The GBP/JPY cross stages a goodish intraday recovery from the vicinity of the 210.00 psychological mark, though it remains on track to register heavy weekly losses. Spot prices climb to the 211.80 area during the early European session on Friday and, for now, seem to have snapped a two-day losing streak to a one-month low, touched the previous day….
2026.09.04 2026.09.04 US Dollar Faces Crucial Test as NFP Data Approach. Forecast as of 04.09.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ A sharp drop in the probability of the Fed tightening monetary policy in September—from 70% to 50%—has sent the EUR/USD soaring. What impact will the US August jobs report have on the pair? Let’s discuss the potential scenarios and build a trading…
New Zealand raised interest rates earlier this week, but the Kiwi fell anyway as the BOJ moved closer to tightening.
investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Markets tread water ahead of US payrolls !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}
EUR/JPY gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 181.50 during the Asian hours on Friday. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross remains within the descending channel pattern, signalling a bearish bias. However, the EUR/JPY cross is maintaining a bearish near-term bias as it remains below the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)….
The tool behind every “traders now see a 50% chance of a hike” headline isn’t based on a poll. It actually refers to a price. Here’s how two Fed officials moved it in opposite directions within a week.
Gold has spent the week reacting almost entirely to shifting Fed rate-hike expectations rather than to any fresh catalyst of its own, and today’s non-farm payrolls report is the next test of that repricing. Currently near $4,475, the metal has clawed back most of a sharp mid-week slide that took it lower than $4,300, its worst level in roughly…
As we move to the end of the week, the focus shifts to the macro data, and to the strength of the labour market in the US. August payrolls are released on Friday at 1330 BST, and the market is expecting a reading of 58k. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1% and wage growth is…
2026.09.03 2026.09.03 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 03.09.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The price continues to rise in a bullish correction (B). Consider long positions with a Take Profit at 81,397.56. XRPUSD:…
