Chances of another rally won’t be decided in Canberra, but in Washington

The Australian Dollar (AUD) rode a rollercoaster in the first half of the year, hitting a four-year high and then correcting. The currency enters the second half with an outlook full of uncertainty due to renewed hostilities in the Middle East, which clouds the inflation outlook and interest rates. While Australia’s economic fundamentals will remain important, the Aussie’s next…

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Oil drops, stock futures surge at the weekly open

Happy Monday to all the bulls out there, and to the oil bears. There was an inkling of what was coming on Friday’s price action and we got confirmation over the weekend as the US halted strikes. It doesn’t sound like a deal is imminent but the shooting has stopped and that’s leading to some early optimism. S&P 500…

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The 79% accurate candlestick pattern [Video]

Most traders start the day watching price action, headlines, indicators, and half a dozen different signals. But this one candlestick pattern may tell you more than all of them. Research covering 4.7 million price bars, 103 patterns, and 500 stocks found that it reversed price 79% of the time when properly confirmed. In this video, I break down: What is the most…

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Newsquawk Week in Focus: FOMC, BoE, BoJ, US PCE, US GDP, and EZ CPI

Mon: BoC Market Participants Survey (Jul), Eurogroup Economic and Financial Affairs Council (Budget), Chinese Industrial Profits (Jun), German Ifo Expectations (Jul), US Durable Goods (Jun) Tue: French Consumer Confidence (Jul), Spanish Retail Sales (Jun), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, US Goods Trade Balance Advance (Jun), Richmond Fed Manufacturing (Jul), Dallas Fed Services (Jul) Wed: Fed Policy Announcement (Jul), BoC Minutes (Jul), Australian…

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Is the Gold-Silver ratio still relevant today?

Earlier this week, I wrote that the gold-silver ratio has recently widened to around 70-1, a bullish signal for silver. But is this metric still relevant today?  Many analysts say it isn’t, claiming that the ratio is a relic of a bygone era when gold and silver were both integral to the global financial system. They argue that the gold-silver ratio…

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