Why the Fed won’t pivot to neutral any time soon

The market came into the year expecting Federal Reserve officials to shift to a less-dovish stance. Deutsche Bank came into the year saying that the Fed wouldn’t cut at all and many were expecting the more-hawkish FOMC members to at least float the idea of a long-lasting trip to the sidelines. Instead, the message has been ‘more cuts are…

Read more

GBP/USD faces downward pressure due to UK fiscal concerns

GBP/USD faces downward pressure due to UK fiscal concerns The Pound Sterling depreciated against the Greenback on Thursday, even though the financial markets remained closed due to former US President Jimmy Carter’s funeral. The GBP(SD traded volatile during the session and exchanged hands at 1.2300, down by 0.49%. Read More… Pound Sterling remains weak despite UK Jones assures markets function…

Read more

Complete Guide to Maximizing Points

2025.01.09 2025.01.09 LiteFinance 20th Anniversary Challenge: How to Earn Points and Win Prizes Jana Kanehttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/jana-kane/ The contest in honor of the company’s 20th anniversary is gaining traction, and we will determine the first winners soon. LiteFinance will award weekly prizes to the top 10 participants in the weekly ranking. You can see the weekly contest results in the Challenge…

Read more

Event Guide: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report (December 2024)

Dollar traders still seem to be busy repricing Fed easing expectations for the year, so how will the upcoming NFP release affect all this? Leading indicators have been coming in mostly upbeat so far, leading some to scale back interest rate cut speculations. Here’s what to look out for in the December jobs report. This Article…

Read more

Fed's Collins: Calls for gradual patient approach to rate cuts

Current outlook calls for gradual, patient approach to rate cuts. Supported December Fed rate cut but was a close call. Fed not on preset path, policy well-positioned. Current outlook in line with Fed December forecasts. Economy in a ‘good place overall’ with notable uncertainties. Too soon to say what impact election will have on economy. Now expects more inflation…

Read more

Gold regains glory while elevated yields makes traders getting nervous over the Fed and Bitcoin

Gold price moves further above $2,670 and tries to consolidate gains.  Traders send yields surging in concerns over inflation overheating again.  Gold price regains trust as markets enter a similar moment as seen in 2023 with the SVB meltdown.  Gold’s price (XAU/USD) consolidates above the key technical level of $2,660 after breaking and closing above the 55-day Simple Moving…

Read more

Review of the main events of the Forex economic calendar for the next trading week (13.01.2025 – 19.01.2025)

2025.01.09 2025.01.09 Economic Calendar for the Week 13.01.2025 – 19.01.2025 Jana Kanehttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/jana-kane/ The US Fed’s December meeting minutes, released last week, supported a strong US dollar. They reflected the central bank’s cautious view on any further monetary easing, noting that inflation remains stable. Fed officials suggested that the recent 1.0% rate cut in September–December is still enough. However, they…

Read more

Chart Art: S&P 500 Index (SP500) Triangle Breakout Due?

U.S. equity markets seem to be off to a cautious start so far this year, leading the S&P 500 index to consolidate inside a triangle pattern. Which way can it break out? Take a look at these potential support and resistance zones on the 4-hour chart: S&P 500 Index (SP500) 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView Sentiment has been shifting…

Read more

Eurozone November retail sales +0.1% vs +0.4% m/m expected

Prior -0.5%; revised to -0.3% Euro area retail sales were only marginally higher on the month, though it isn’t immediately clear how much of this captures the sales from Black Friday and Cyber Monday. If it doesn’t, then that’s a poor showing and reaffirms softer household spending towards the end of last year. Here’s the monthly breakdown: This article…

Read more

Prices stayed weak in Dec, RRR cut in focus – UOB Group

China’s CPI inflation slowed for the fourth consecutive month to 0.1% y/y in Dec and was flat on a m/m comparison. The PPI deflation eased to -2.3% y/y in Dec while momentum eased to fall -0.1% m/m due to factors such as production offseason and international commodity price fluctuations, UOB Group’s Economist Ho Woei Chen notes. Weak price pressure…

Read more