TD Securities reports that United States labor market data surprised slightly on the positive side, with initial jobless claims below expectations and continuing claims near consensus. This reinforces a picture of a still-resilient US economy. The backdrop of firm labor data may help underpin the Dollar as markets assess Federal Reserve communication. Jobless claims beat expectations “Rates moved higher…
2026.04.17 2026.04.17 EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 17.04.26–24.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.1628 with a target of 1.2088–1.2400. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1628. Stop Loss: below 1.1565, Take Profit: 1.2088–1.2400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 1.1628 will allow the…
USD/CAD just broke through a key support zone! How much further can it fall before buyers step in for a more sustained bounce?
Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 10 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting) Rate hikes by year-end RBNZ: 75 bps (69% probability of no change at the next meeting) ECB: 54 bps (79% probability of no change at the next meeting) RBA: 54 bps (78% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) BoJ: 46 bps…
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage argues that USD dynamics are central to Q2 diversification decisions, as the Rest of World equity index has shown a strong correlation with the USD index. With European Central Bank hikes now priced against limited Fed easing odds, EUR/USD has moved higher, while emerging markets face tighter front-end rates due to…
2026.04.17 2026.04.17 US Dollar Weakens on Prospects of US–Iran Agreement. Forecast as of 17.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Stock and currency markets are optimistic about the end of the Middle East conflict. Only persistently high oil prices are preventing the EUR/USD pair from rallying further. The US dollar is returning to its long-standing drivers: the Fed’s independence and monetary policy. Let’s…
The SEC eliminated the $25,000 Pattern Day Trader rule and replaced it with intraday margin standards. Learn what changed, who benefits, and what risks remain for retail traders.
At a glance: Mixed geopolitical signals: ceasefire talk offsets escalation risks (Bab al-Mandab threat unverified) Markets lean toward optimism on Trump ceasefire tone despite ongoing uncertainty BoJ flags oil-driven stagflation risk, keeps policy flexible and accommodative China reinforces easing bias and fiscal support; NZ political noise adds mild uncertainty FX subdued; equities softer as traders trim risk into weekend…
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 98.25 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The DXY trades on a flat note amid uncertainty surrounding a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon. Traders await the prospects for fresh US-Iran talks this weekend for fresh…
With oil above $100 and tax cuts in place, Canada’s CPI tests inflation spread. Will it shift BOC policy and CAD direction?
