The US Dollar Index (DXY) is losing momentum near the 98.50 price zone and continues drifting lower from recent highs as markets unwind part of the recent US Dollar (USD) rally despite still strong United States (US) data and ongoing Middle East tensions. Profit-taking into the weekend, alongside a modest pullback in US yields, is weighing on the Greenback…
Gold fell during the week’s worst escalation. Five central banks, a Warsh confirmation vote, US GDP, and stalled Hormuz peace talks define the week ahead.
Iran foreign minister Aragchi travelled to Oman as expected on the weekend but then returned to Pakistan, according to reports. There are also reports that there has been some progress on the nuclear file, with the US accepting a moratorium on the enrichment ban or some kind of phased enrichment after 10 years. The comment from Trump is positive,…
Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman expects the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to leave Bank Rate at 3.75% at the April meeting, maintaining its vigilant stance. Koopman notes weaker domestic demand, already restrictive policy and lower-than-expected energy prices, which may slightly reduce near-term inflation forecasts, while still anticipating one additional rate hike rather than a…
Mon: German GfK Consumer Confidence (May), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) Tue: BoJ Policy Announcement (Apr), Spanish/Italian Retail Sales (Mar), Italian PPI (Mar), US ADP Weekly Employment Change, US House Price Index (Feb), US CB Consumer Confidence (Apr), US Richmond Fed Index (Apr), US Dallas Fed Index (Apr) Wed: Fed Policy Announcement (Apr), BoC Policy Announcement (Apr), BCB…
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $64.8K vs previous $65.1K
The USDCHF moved higher earlier today, but that upside momentum has stalled and the pair has backed off its highs as the USD comes under pressure. Headlines about Iran sending a delegation to Pakistan helped shift the tone, and the greenback has rotated lower as a result. Even so, USDCHF is still clinging to modest gains, up about 0.04%…
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-115.8K to $-110.1K
Canada retail sales came in a bit softer on the surface, but the underlying details were more constructive. Headline sales rose +0.7% vs +0.9% expected, but the prior month was revised higher to +1.2% from +1.1%. Ex-autos, sales increased +0.5% vs +0.8% expected, with the prior also revised up to +1.0% from +0.8%. So while the current read missed…
Gold trades modestly higher on the day above $4,700 after having touched a fresh 10-day low below $4,660 earlier in the day, but looks to end the week in negative territory. Intensifying US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and the lack of progress in peace talks keep investors on edge. Moreover, reviving inflationary fears temper expectations for a…
