XAUUSD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 31.12.21 – 07.01.22

Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1752.16 with a target of 1913.87 – 2075.27.

Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1752.16 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1673.63 – 1601.98.

Analysis: Daily chart: an ascending third wave of larger degree (3) is formed, a descending correction developed as the fourth wave (4), and the fifth wave (5) appears to be unfolding, with the third wave of smaller degree 3 of (5) starting to form as its part. Wave i of 3 appears to continue developing on the H4 chart, with a local correction formed inside as wave (iv) of i. Apparently, the fifth wave (v) of i has started developing on the H1 chart. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to 1913.87 – 2075.27. The level of 1752.16 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1673.63 – 1601.98.



Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode

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