XAUUSD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 09.08.24 – 16.08.24


The article covers the following subjects:

Highlights and key points

  • Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 2364.60 with a growth target of 2560.00 – 2650.00. A buy signal: after the price returns above 2364.60. Stop Loss: below 2340.00, Take Profit: 2560.00 – 2650.00.
  • Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 2364.60 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 2161.56 – 1988.70. A sell signal: after the level of 2364.60 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 2380.00, Take Profit: 2161.56 – 1988.70.

Main scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 2364.60 with a growth target of 2560.00 – 2650.00.

Alternative scenario

Breakout and consolidation below the level of 2364.60 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 2161.56 – 1988.70.

Analysis

The fifth wave of larger degree (5) is presumably developing on the daily chart, with wave 3 of (5) forming as its part. On the H4 time frame, apparently, a correction finished developing as the fourth wave iv of 3, and the fifth wave v of 3 is forming. On the H1 chart, the third wave of smaller degree (iii) of v is developing, within which a local correction has formed as wave ii of (iii) and wave iii of (iii) is unfolding. If the presumption is correct, the XAUUSD pair will continue to rise to the levels of 2560.00 – 2650.00. The level of 2364.60 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue falling to the levels of 2161.56 – 1988.70.



Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode

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