WTI Crude Oil: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 27.12.24 – 03.01.25


The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • Main scenario: After the correction ends, consider short positions below the level of 78.88 with a target of 61.50 – 53.60. A sell signal: the price holds below 78.88. Stop Loss: above 79.20, Take Profit: 61.50 – 53.60.
  • Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 78.88 will allow the asset to continue rising to the levels of 83.75 – 94.97. A buy signal: the level of 78.88 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 78.50, Take Profit: 83.75 – 94.97.

Main Scenario

Consider short positions below the level of 78.88 with a target of 61.50 – 53.60 once a correction is completed.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation above the level of 78.88 will allow the asset to continue rising to the levels of 83.75 – 94.97.

Analysis

A descending correction appears to continue forming as the second wave of larger degree (2) on the weekly chart, with wave С of (2) developing as its part. Apparently, the third wave of smaller degree iii of С is formed on the daily time frame, and a local correction is unfolding as the fourth wave iv of С. Wave (a) of iv and wave (b) of iv are completed on the H4 chart, while wave (c) of iv continues developing. If the presumption is correct, WTI will continue falling to 61.50 – 53.60 after the correction is over. The level of 78.88 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the price to continue growing to 83.75 – 94.97.



Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode

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