Goldman Sachs expect two Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2022, & equities higher

Goldman Sachs look to the futures market as support for their Federal Open Market Committee view:

  • the futures market and our economists both expect the Fed will raise the funds rate by 25bp in July
  • and at least one additional time later in 2022

Equity impact:

  • The median historical experience of equity valuations around initial Fed hikes shows stable P/E multiples. 
  • Specifically, during the 12-month period starting six-months before and ending six months after a tightening cycle begins, the valuation of the S&P 500 has remained remarkably steady on average

From a longer piece.

GS targeting S&P500 at 5100 at end-’22

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