EUR/USD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 14.11.25 – 21.11.25


The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.1770 with a target of 1.1252 – 1.1040. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.1770. Stop Loss: above 1.1770, Take Profit: 1.1252 – 1.1040.
  • Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1770 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.1915 – 1.2100. A buy signal: the level of 1.1770 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.1770, Take Profit: 1.1915 – 1.2100.

Main Scenario

Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.1770 with a target of 1.1252 – 1.1040.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1770 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.1915 – 1.2100.

Analysis

On the weekly time frame, an ascending wave of larger degree B is developing, with wave (A) of B forming as its part. On the daily time frame, the third wave 3 of (A) has apparently been completed, and a downward correction is developing as the fourth wave 4 of (A). Wave a of 4 is forming on the H4 time frame, within which a local correction is nearing completion as wave (ii) of a. If the presumption is correct, the EUR/USD pair will continue falling to 1.1252 – 1.1040 after the correction is over. The level of 1.1770 is critical in this scenario. Its breakout will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.1915 – 1.2100.




This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.

Price chart of EURUSD in real time mode

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