Deutsche Bank on the 10% US equity mkt correction: only leads to recession 44% of the time


In brief from the analysts at Deutsche Bank:

On
our methodology, there have now been 60 corrections from this point
including this current one.

  • when a
    correction started, 12% of the time a recession had already started.
  • 32%
    of the time one was coming within the next 12 months
  • and on 56% of
    occasions no recession started around or within a year of the correction
    starting.

So, a correction is 44% of the time associated with a recession and 56% not.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.