China Consumer Price Index (MoM) below expectations (0.8%) in January: Actual (0.7%)
China Consumer Price Index (MoM) below expectations (0.8%) in January: Actual (0.7%)
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Premium Watchlist Recap: February 3 – 5, 2025
This week our currency strategists focused on the New Zealand Employment report and Bank of England monetary policy statement for potential high-quality setups in the Kiwi and the British pound. Out of the eight scenario/price outlook discussions this week, two discussions arguably saw both fundie & technical arguments triggered to become potential candidates for a trade & risk management…
Trump: We do want to work on the deficit with Japan. Want to get it down to even
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you…
China Consumer Price Index (YoY) above expectations (0.4%) in January: Actual (0.5%)
China Consumer Price Index (YoY) above expectations (0.4%) in January: Actual (0.5%)
FX Fundies Cheat Sheet for Feb. 10 – 14, 2025
The FX market enters another pivotal week marked by significant central bank divergence, trade dynamics, and global inflation updates!
Trump is trying to have it both ways on tariffs
AI image Does Trump want tariffs to raise revenue or does he want foreign countries to lower barriers? His comments and actions indicate he wants it both ways. On Friday, the market was concerned about the latest comments from Trump. “I’ll be announcing that next week — on reciprocal trade — so that we’re treated evenly with other countries….
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions declined to 230.3K from previous 264.1K
The January payrolls number was weaker than expected at 143k, vs a reading of 175k. However, to counteract the downside surprise in the NFP number, the unemployment rate fell to 4% from 4.1%, and average wage data jumped by 0.5% on the month, to 4.1%, the market had been looking for a decline to 3.8%.
EU to offer lower tariffs on US car imports in effort to make a deal with Trump
AI image Bernd Lange, who heads the trade committee in the European parliament spoke with the Financial Times and said the bloc was willing to lower its 10% import tax on cars “closer” to the 2.5% charged by the US in an effort to avoid a trade war. “We can try to have a deal before escalating costs and…
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-75.3K from previous $-71.8K
The January payrolls number was weaker than expected at 143k, vs a reading of 175k. However, to counteract the downside surprise in the NFP number, the unemployment rate fell to 4% from 4.1%, and average wage data jumped by 0.5% on the month, to 4.1%, the market had been looking for a decline to 3.8%.
More from Fed’s Kugler: Stable labor market gives the Fed time to make decisions
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you…
